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Terrassa vs Reus FC Reddis Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Group 3 - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 10:00

Terrassa

PPG 1.63 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Reus FC Reddis

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-111.0%0-26.7%0-32.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.6%1-113.0%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.3%2-17.7%2-24.8%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.5%3-13.1%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.2% — — —

Draw 31.4% — — —

Away win 35.3% — — —

Over 2.5 43.5% — — —

Over 3.5 22.5% — — —

BTTS 51.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.2%

D 31% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 44% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 8.9%

#3 0–1✓ 11.0%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Terrassa1.2

Reus FC Reddis1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.5% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TERRASSA · PPG 1.63

REUS FC REDDIS · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Terrassa (H) 33.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Reus FC Reddis (A) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Terrassa face Reus FC Reddis in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Terrassa a 33% chance, the draw 31% and Reus FC Reddis 35%, so Reus FC Reddis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Terrassa and 1.2 for Reus FC Reddis (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Terrassa are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.25 for Reus FC Reddis. This match finished 0-1.

Terrassa vs Reus FC Reddis Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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