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Porreres vs Alcoyano Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Group 3 - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 10:00

Porreres

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Alcoyano

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.9%0-117.8%0-28.9%0-32.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-013.0%1-112.9%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-04.7%2-14.7%2-22.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.1%3-11.1%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.9% — — —

Draw 37.2% — — —

Away win 38.9% — — —

Over 2.5 24.8% — — —

Over 3.5 9.6% — — —

BTTS 34.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob34.4%

A 39% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 25% / NoBTTS 34%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 17.9%

#2 0–1 17.8%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 1–0 13.0%

#5 0–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Porreres0.7

Alcoyano1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 24.8% · O3.5 PROB 9.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PORRERES · PPG 1.00

ALCOYANO · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Porreres (H) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Alcoyano (A) 38.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Porreres face Alcoyano in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Porreres a 24% chance, the draw 37% and Alcoyano 39%, so Alcoyano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Porreres and 1.0 for Alcoyano (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Porreres are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.31 for Alcoyano. This match finished 0-0.

Porreres vs Alcoyano Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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