Valladolid B vs Burgos B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 34 Campo 1 Anexos del José Zorrilla hierba natural· Valladolid Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:00

Valladolid B PPG 1.13

2-0 HIT CS3

Burgos B PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Valladolid B face Burgos B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Valladolid B a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Burgos B 26%, so Valladolid B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Valladolid B and 1.3 for Burgos B (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Valladolid B are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 0.75 for Burgos B. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 25.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 25.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.8% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 40.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 64.2% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✔

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Valladolid B

1.90

Burgos B

1.34

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.13) > Away POOR (0.75)