Numancia vs Marino de L. Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

Numancia face Marino de L. in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Numancia a 37% chance, the draw 35% and Marino de L. 28%, so Numancia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Numancia and 0.9 for Marino de L. (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Numancia are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 1.50 for Marino de L.. This match finished 1-0.