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Samano vs Bergantinos Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 34 Campo de fútbol de Sámano· Cantabria Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:00
Samano logo Samano PPG 0.69
0-5 MISS
Bergantinos logo Bergantinos PPG 1.38
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Samano face Bergantinos in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Samano a 19% chance, the draw 28% and Bergantinos 53%, so Bergantinos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Samano and 1.7 for Bergantinos (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Samano are averaging 0.69 points per game versus 1.38 for Bergantinos. This match finished 0-5.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 19.2%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 27.9%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 52.9%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: —
Over 3.5 25.9% Odds: —
BTTS 50.4% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-2
4th 1-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Samano
0.92
Bergantinos
1.66

Model Suggestion

Away MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs Home POOR (0.69)

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