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Real Oviedo B vs Langreo Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Group 1 - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 10:00

Real Oviedo B

PPG 1.56 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

Langreo

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-19.0%0-24.1%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.8%1-112.6%1-25.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.7%2-18.9%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.6%3-14.2%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% — — —

Draw 30.9% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 41.0% — — —

Over 3.5 20.5% — — —

BTTS 47.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -8.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.2%

H 46% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 13.8%

#3 0–0 9.8%

#4 2–0 9.7%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Oviedo B1.4

Langreo0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.0% · O3.5 PROB 20.5%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL OVIEDO B · PPG 1.56

LANGREO · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Real Oviedo B (H) 46.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Langreo (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Oviedo B face Langreo in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Oviedo B a 47% chance, the draw 31% and Langreo 23%, so Real Oviedo B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Real Oviedo B and 0.9 for Langreo (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Oviedo B are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.06 for Langreo. This match finished 3-2.

Real Oviedo B vs Langreo Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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