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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 35 Estadio de Espiñedo· Ourense Sunday, May 3, 2026 10:00
Arenteiro logo Arenteiro PPG 1.12
0-4 MISS
Cacereno logo Cacereno PPG 1.00
Draw· +8.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.1%
Odds: 2.62 EV: -5.4%
Draw 33.3%
Odds: 3.25 EV: +8.2%
Away 30.6%
Odds: 2.40 EV: -26.6%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 37.0% Odds: 2.10 -22.3%
Over 3.5 17.5% Odds: 3.85 -32.6%
BTTS 45.8% Odds: 1.80 -17.6%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Arenteiro
1.14
Cacereno
1.03

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -35.1%
Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.12), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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