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Urawa RD W vs V. Sendai W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 05:00

Urawa RD W

PPG 2.44 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

V. Sendai W

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs P(Home)=58.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-16.4%0-22.4%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.6%1-110.9%1-24.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.5%2-19.4%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.2%3-15.4%3-22.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-13.4%4+-21.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.8% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 14.4% — — —

Over 2.5 44.8% — — —

Over 3.5 23.6% — — —

BTTS 45.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob45.0%

H 59% / xG 1.7-0.8 / O2.5 45% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.6%

#2 1–1 10.9%

#3 2–0 12.5%

#4 0–0 8.5%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Urawa RD W1.7

V. Sendai W0.8

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 23.6%

Form & verdict PPG

URAWA RD W · PPG 2.44

V. SENDAI W · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs P(Home)=58.8%

Win probability 1X2

Urawa RD W (H) 58.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

V. Sendai W (A) 14.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Urawa RD W face V. Sendai W in Japan - WE League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Urawa RD W a 59% chance, the draw 27% and V. Sendai W 14%, so Urawa RD W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Urawa RD W and 0.8 for V. Sendai W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Urawa RD W are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 1.56 for V. Sendai W. This match finished 0-1.

Urawa RD W vs V. Sendai W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Match Preview & Prediction

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