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INAC Kobe L. W vs P. Nagano W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 05:00

INAC Kobe L. W

PPG 2.44 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

P. Nagano W

PPG 0.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.44), Away POOR (0.56) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-11.4%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.0%1-14.4%1-21.4%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.2%2-17.0%2-22.2%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.9%3-17.5%3-22.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-021.2%4+-113.3%4+-24.2%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 85.8% — — —

Draw 10.6% — — —

Away win 3.6% — — —

Over 2.5 73.5% — — —

Over 3.5 53.2% — — —

BTTS 45.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 77%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.3%

H 86% / xG 3.2-0.6 / O2.5 74% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 11.9%

#2 2–0 11.2%

#3 4–0 9.5%

#4 3–1 7.5%

#5 2–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

INAC Kobe L. W3.2

P. Nagano W0.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.5% · O3.5 PROB 53.2%

Form & verdict PPG

INAC KOBE L. W · PPG 2.44

P. NAGANO W · PPG 0.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.44), Away POOR (0.56) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

INAC Kobe L. W (H) 85.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 10.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

P. Nagano W (A) 3.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

INAC Kobe L. W face P. Nagano W in Japan - WE League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives INAC Kobe L. W a 86% chance, the draw 11% and P. Nagano W 4%, so INAC Kobe L. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for INAC Kobe L. W and 0.6 for P. Nagano W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, INAC Kobe L. W are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 0.56 for P. Nagano W. This match finished 5-1.

INAC Kobe L. W vs P. Nagano W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Match Preview & Prediction

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