Wollongong W. PPG 2.00
Rockdale PPG 1.80Wollongong W. face Rockdale in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wollongong W. a 40% chance, the draw 30% and Rockdale 31%, so Wollongong W. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Wollongong W. and 1.2 for Rockdale (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wollongong W. are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.80 for Rockdale. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.1%. This match finished 2-2.
Based on 55 resolved predictions
Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.80)