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Wollongong W. vs Rockdale Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 13 WIN Stadium· Wollongong Sunday, May 3, 2026 05:00
Wollongong W. logo Wollongong W. PPG 2.00
2-2 MISS
Rockdale logo Rockdale PPG 1.80
Home· +15.1% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Wollongong W. face Rockdale in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wollongong W. a 40% chance, the draw 30% and Rockdale 31%, so Wollongong W. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Wollongong W. and 1.2 for Rockdale (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wollongong W. are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.80 for Rockdale. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.7%
Odds: 2.90 EV: +15.1%
Draw 29.7%
Odds: 3.50 EV: +4.0%
Away 30.6%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -35.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.2% Odds: 1.65 -18.8%
Over 3.5 27.3% Odds: 2.60 -29.0%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.53 -15.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Wollongong W.
1.42
Rockdale
1.22

Model Suggestion

BTTS -15.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+15.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 51%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 38%
ROI 17.4%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.80)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org