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Deportivo Merlo PPG 1.33 
A. Quilmes PPG 0.83
Deportivo Merlo vs A. Quilmes Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana
Deportivo Merlo PPG 1.331-0 HIT CS3
A. Quilmes PPG 0.83 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Deportivo Merlo face A. Quilmes in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Merlo a 38% chance, the draw 32% and A. Quilmes 30%, so Deportivo Merlo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Deportivo Merlo and 1.1 for A. Quilmes (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Merlo are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.83 for A. Quilmes. This match finished 1-0.
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 40.8% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 20.4% Odds: — —
BTTS 48.8% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✔
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Merlo 1.24
A. Quilmes 1.07
Model Suggestion
No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 85 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 65%
ROI 16.1%
Bet Hit 52% (23 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.83)