LDU Quito vs Guayaquil City Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro

Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 12 Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado· Quito Saturday, May 2, 2026 21:30

LDU Quito PPG 1.00

1-0 HIT CS3

Guayaquil City PPG 1.50

Away· +160.6% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

LDU Quito face Guayaquil City in Ecuador - Liga Pro on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LDU Quito a 32% chance, the draw 37% and Guayaquil City 31%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.9 for LDU Quito and 0.9 for Guayaquil City (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LDU Quito are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Guayaquil City. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +160.6%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.7%

Odds: 1.38 EV: -56.3%

Draw 37.0%

Odds: 4.40 EV: +62.8%

Away 31.4%

Odds: 8.30 EV: +160.6%

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 26.8% Odds: 1.83 -51.0%

Over 3.5 10.8% Odds: 3.10 -66.5%

BTTS 37.1% Odds: 2.05 -23.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✔

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

LDU Quito

0.90

Guayaquil City

0.90

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)