D. Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno Prediction

Unknown League Saturday, May 2, 2026 —

D. Recoleta PPG 1.67

VS PENDING

Cerro Porteno PPG 2.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

D. Recoleta face Cerro Porteno on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Recoleta a 32% chance, the draw 30% and Cerro Porteno 38%, so Cerro Porteno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for D. Recoleta and 1.4 for Cerro Porteno (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Recoleta are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.13 for Cerro Porteno.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 30.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 37.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.9% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 26.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 54.5% Odds: — —

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 0-0

3rd 1-2

4th 0-1

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

D. Recoleta

1.24

Cerro Porteno

1.35

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.67) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.13)