Today / Japan - WE League / Nojima Stella W vs Elfen Saitama W

Nojima Stella W vs Elfen Saitama W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 05:00

Nojima Stella W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Elfen Saitama W

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.78)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-18.8%0-24.7%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.8%1-112.6%1-26.7%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.5%2-19.0%2-24.8%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.0%3-14.3%3-22.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% — — —

Draw 30.2% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 45.5% — — —

Over 3.5 24.2% — — —

BTTS 51.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.7%

H 44% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 8.2%

#3 1–0 11.8%

#4 2–1 9.0%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nojima Stella W1.4

Elfen Saitama W1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.5% · O3.5 PROB 24.2%

Form & verdict PPG

NOJIMA STELLA W · PPG 1.00

ELFEN SAITAMA W · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.78)

Win probability 1X2

Nojima Stella W (H) 43.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Elfen Saitama W (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nojima Stella W face Elfen Saitama W in Japan - WE League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nojima Stella W a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Elfen Saitama W 26%, so Nojima Stella W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Nojima Stella W and 1.1 for Elfen Saitama W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nojima Stella W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.78 for Elfen Saitama W. This match finished 1-2.

Nojima Stella W vs Elfen Saitama W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Japan - WE League Predictions