Today / Australia - Victoria NPL 2 / North Sunshine vs Bulleen

North Sunshine vs Bulleen Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Matchday 11 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 05:00

North Sunshine

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLWW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Bulleen

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS 72% chance

Model probability 69.6% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-15.7%0-25.9%0-34.1%0-4+3.4%1 1-04.2%1-18.7%1-29.0%1-36.2%1-4+5.2%2 2-03.2%2-16.6%2-26.8%2-34.7%2-4+4.0%3 3-01.6%3-13.3%3-23.5%3-32.4%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.8%4+-21.8%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.0% 45.5% 2.20 -40.6%

Draw 23.8% 28.6% 3.50 -16.7%

Away win 49.3% 38.5% 2.60 +28.2%

Over 2.5 69.6% — — —

Over 3.5 48.3% — — —

BTTS 69.6% 73.5% 1.36 -5.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 88 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -27.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob69.6%

A 49% / xG 1.5-2.1 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 2–1 6.6%

#5 1–3 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

North Sunshine1.5

Bulleen2.1

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.6% · O3.5 PROB 48.3%

Form & verdict PPG

NORTH SUNSHINE · PPG 1.00

BULLEEN · PPG 1.60

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

72%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.60) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

North Sunshine (H) 27.0%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -40.6%

Draw 23.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -16.7%

Bulleen (A) 49.3%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +28.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

North Sunshine face Bulleen in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives North Sunshine a 27% chance, the draw 24% and Bulleen 49%, so Bulleen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for North Sunshine and 2.1 for Bulleen (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, North Sunshine are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.60 for Bulleen. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +28.2%. This match finished 0-1.

North Sunshine vs Bulleen Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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