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A. Niigata W vs Omiya Ardija W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 04:00

A. Niigata W

PPG 1.22 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Omiya Ardija W

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.22), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-110.4%0-26.3%0-32.6%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.7%1-112.9%1-27.8%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.6%2-18.0%2-24.9%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.7%3-13.3%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% — — —

Draw 31.2% — — —

Away win 33.7% — — —

Over 2.5 44.5% — — —

Over 3.5 23.3% — — —

BTTS 51.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.9%

D 31% / xG 1.2-1.2 / O2.5 44% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0✓ 8.6%

#3 1–0 10.7%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Niigata W1.2

Omiya Ardija W1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.5% · O3.5 PROB 23.3%

Form & verdict PPG

A. NIIGATA W · PPG 1.22

OMIYA ARDIJA W · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.22), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

A. Niigata W (H) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Omiya Ardija W (A) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Niigata W face Omiya Ardija W in Japan - WE League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Niigata W a 35% chance, the draw 31% and Omiya Ardija W 34%, so A. Niigata W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for A. Niigata W and 1.2 for Omiya Ardija W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Niigata W are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.40 for Omiya Ardija W. This match finished 0-0.

A. Niigata W vs Omiya Ardija W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Match Preview & Prediction

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