Today / Meknes vs Maghreb de Fes

Meknes vs Maghreb de Fes Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Meknes
PPG 2.11 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
Maghreb de Fes
PPG 1.89 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.7%0-117.9%0-29.1%0-33.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.7%1-112.9%1-26.5%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-04.6%2-14.6%2-22.4%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.1%3-11.1%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 23.3%
Draw 37.0%
Away win 39.7%
Over 2.5 25.2%
Over 3.5 9.8%
BTTS 34.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob34.6%

A 40% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 25% / NoBTTS 35%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.7%
#2 0–1 17.9%
#3 1–1 12.9%
#4 1–0 12.7%
#5 0–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Meknes0.7
Maghreb de Fes1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.2% · O3.5 PROB 9.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MEKNES · PPG 2.11

MAGHREB DE FES · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.11), Away GOOD (1.89)

Win probability 1X2

Meknes (H) 23.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 37.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Maghreb de Fes (A) 39.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Meknes face Maghreb de Fes on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meknes a 23% chance, the draw 37% and Maghreb de Fes 40%, so Maghreb de Fes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Meknes and 1.0 for Maghreb de Fes (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meknes are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 1.89 for Maghreb de Fes. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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