Today / Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana / V. San Carlos vs D. Laferrere

V. San Carlos vs D. Laferrere Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 18:30

V. San Carlos

PPG 1.14 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

D. Laferrere

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.14) > Away POOR (0.83)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-18.4%0-24.2%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.5%1-112.4%1-26.1%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.3%2-19.2%2-24.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.6%3-14.5%3-22.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.6% — — —

Draw 30.0% — — —

Away win 23.5% — — —

Over 2.5 44.7% — — —

Over 3.5 23.5% — — —

BTTS 50.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob50.3%

H 47% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 45% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 12.5%

#3 0–0 8.5%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

V. San Carlos1.5

D. Laferrere1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.7% · O3.5 PROB 23.5%

Form & verdict PPG

V. SAN CARLOS · PPG 1.14

D. LAFERRERE · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.14) > Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

V. San Carlos (H) 46.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

D. Laferrere (A) 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

V. San Carlos face D. Laferrere in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives V. San Carlos a 47% chance, the draw 30% and D. Laferrere 24%, so V. San Carlos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for V. San Carlos and 1.0 for D. Laferrere (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, V. San Carlos are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.83 for D. Laferrere. This match finished 0-2.

V. San Carlos vs D. Laferrere Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Predictions