Ajax Amsterdam vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

Ajax Amsterdam face PSV Eindhoven on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ajax Amsterdam a 33% chance, the draw 25% and PSV Eindhoven 42%, so PSV Eindhoven are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Ajax Amsterdam and 1.8 for PSV Eindhoven (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ajax Amsterdam are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.60 for PSV Eindhoven. This match finished 2-2.