Today / Grodzisk M. vs Wieczysta K.

Grodzisk M. vs Wieczysta K. Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Grodzisk M.

PPG 1.80 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Wieczysta K.

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.80), Away GOOD (1.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.9%0-24.9%0-32.7%0-4+1.7%1 1-05.9%1-19.8%1-28.2%1-34.6%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.9%2-18.3%2-26.9%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-02.8%3-14.6%3-23.9%3-32.2%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.8%4+-22.4%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.2% — — —

Draw 25.8% — — —

Away win 37.0% — — —

Over 2.5 65.1% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 67.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob67.5%

H 37% / xG 1.7-1.7 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–0 3.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grodzisk M.1.7

Wieczysta K.1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GRODZISK M. · PPG 1.80

WIECZYSTA K. · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.80), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Grodzisk M. (H) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wieczysta K. (A) 37.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Grodzisk M. face Wieczysta K. on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grodzisk M. a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Wieczysta K. 37%, so Grodzisk M. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Grodzisk M. and 1.7 for Wieczysta K. (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grodzisk M. are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.67 for Wieczysta K.. This match finished 1-4.

Grodzisk M. vs Wieczysta K. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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