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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 35 Estadio Ruta de la Plata· Zamora Saturday, May 2, 2026 16:30
Zamora logo Zamora PPG 1.88
3-0 MISS
Ponferradina logo Ponferradina PPG 1.41
Draw· +1.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.1%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -20.2%
Draw 33.9%
Odds: 3.00 EV: +1.7%
Away 29.1%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -4.0%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.45 -14.2%
Over 3.5 16.1% Odds: 4.50 -27.6%
BTTS 44.1% Odds: 2.00 -11.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Zamora
1.13
Ponferradina
0.97

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.41)

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