Talavera CF PPG 1.35
Arenas Club PPG 0.71Talavera CF face Arenas Club in Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talavera CF a 40% chance, the draw 32% and Arenas Club 28%, so Talavera CF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Talavera CF and 1.0 for Arenas Club (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talavera CF are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 0.71 for Arenas Club. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.2%. This match finished 2-1.
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.35) > Away POOR (0.71)