Today / Zilina vs Z. Michalovce

Zilina vs Z. Michalovce Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Zilina
PPG 1.93 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Z. Michalovce
PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-15.2%0-22.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.0%1-110.2%1-25.7%1-32.1%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.8%2-19.9%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.7%3-16.4%3-23.6%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-14.8%4+-22.7%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 54.8%
Draw 25.0%
Away win 20.2%
Over 2.5 59.2%
Over 3.5 36.8%
BTTS 59.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.4%

H 55% / xG 1.9-1.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%
#2 2–1 9.9%
#3 2–0 8.8%
#4 1–0 9.0%
#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zilina1.9
Z. Michalovce1.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.2% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ZILINA · PPG 1.93

Z. MICHALOVCE · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Zilina (H) 54.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Z. Michalovce (A) 20.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zilina face Z. Michalovce on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zilina a 55% chance, the draw 25% and Z. Michalovce 20%, so Zilina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Zilina and 1.1 for Z. Michalovce (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zilina are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.29 for Z. Michalovce. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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