Today / Podbrezova vs Spartak Trnava

Podbrezova vs Spartak Trnava Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Podbrezova

PPG 1.57 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Spartak Trnava

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away GOOD (1.57)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-16.8%0-25.2%0-32.7%0-4+1.4%1 1-07.0%1-110.8%1-28.3%1-34.2%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.6%2-18.5%2-26.5%2-33.3%2-4+1.8%3 3-02.9%3-14.5%3-23.4%3-31.8%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.5%4+-21.9%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.5% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 35.4% — — —

Over 2.5 60.1% — — —

Over 3.5 37.7% — — —

BTTS 63.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.8%

H 38% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 0–0 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Podbrezova1.6

Spartak Trnava1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 37.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PODBREZOVA · PPG 1.57

SPARTAK TRNAVA · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Podbrezova (H) 37.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Spartak Trnava (A) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Podbrezova face Spartak Trnava on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Podbrezova a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Spartak Trnava 35%, so Podbrezova are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Podbrezova and 1.5 for Spartak Trnava (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Podbrezova are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.57 for Spartak Trnava. This match finished 0-1.

Podbrezova vs Spartak Trnava Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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