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Montenegro - First League Saturday, May 2, 2026 17:00 
Mornar Bar PPG 2.27 
Jedinstvo PPG 0.80
Montenegro - First League Saturday, May 2, 2026 17:00 Mornar Bar PPG 2.273-0 MISS
Jedinstvo PPG 0.80Draw· +6.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 45.4% Odds: 1.95 -11.5%
Over 3.5 24.1% Odds: — —
BTTS 46.9% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Mornar Bar 1.68
Jedinstvo 0.81
Model Suggestion
Home -19.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -19.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+6.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+6.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 34 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -57.2%
Bet Hit 22% (9 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.27) vs P(Home)=56.5%