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Buducnost vs Mladost DG Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 16:00

Buducnost

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Mladost DG

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.8% vs bookmaker-implied 52.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-18.6%0-24.4%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.3%1-112.5%1-26.3%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.9%2-19.1%2-24.6%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.3%3-14.4%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.2%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% 58.8% 1.70 -22.8%

Draw 30.1% 32.3% 3.10 -6.7%

Away win 24.5% 21.7% 4.60 +12.7%

Over 2.5 44.9% — — —

Over 3.5 23.7% — — —

BTTS 50.8% 52.4% 1.91 -3.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -42.3%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob50.8%

H 45% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 45% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–0 12.3%

#3 0–0 8.4%

#4 2–1 9.1%

#5 2–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Buducnost1.5

Mladost DG1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.9% · O3.5 PROB 23.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDUCNOST · PPG 1.67

MLADOST DG · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=45.4%

Win probability 1X2

Buducnost (H) 45.4%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -22.8%

Draw 30.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -6.7%

Mladost DG (A) 24.5%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +12.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Buducnost face Mladost DG in Montenegro - First League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Buducnost a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Mladost DG 25%, so Buducnost are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Buducnost and 1.0 for Mladost DG (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Buducnost are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.80 for Mladost DG. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +12.7%. This match finished 0-1.

Buducnost vs Mladost DG Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

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