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Oldenburg vs Weiche F. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 16:00

Oldenburg

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Weiche F.

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-12.1%0-21.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-03.7%1-15.8%1-24.6%1-32.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-05.0%2-17.9%2-26.3%2-33.3%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.5%3-17.2%3-25.7%3-33.0%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-19.5%4+-27.5%4+-34.0%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.0% — — —

Draw 19.1% — — —

Away win 19.9% — — —

Over 2.5 80.4% — — —

Over 3.5 62.5% — — —

BTTS 75.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob75.2%

H 61% / xG 2.7-1.6 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.9%

#2 3–1 7.2%

#3 1–1 5.8%

#4 2–2 6.3%

#5 3–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oldenburg2.7

Weiche F.1.6

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.4% · O3.5 PROB 62.5%

Form & verdict PPG

OLDENBURG · PPG 2.00

WEICHE F. · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Oldenburg (H) 61.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Weiche F. (A) 19.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Oldenburg face Weiche F. in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oldenburg a 61% chance, the draw 19% and Weiche F. 20%, so Oldenburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Oldenburg and 1.6 for Weiche F. (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oldenburg are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.20 for Weiche F.. This match finished 1-2.

Oldenburg vs Weiche F. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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