Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Regular Season - 10 Sartichala Central Stadium Saturday, May 2, 2026 16:00

Shturmi PPG 1.75

1-0 HIT CS3

Kolkheti Poti PPG 0.75

Draw· +6.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Shturmi face Kolkheti Poti in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shturmi a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Kolkheti Poti 24%, so Shturmi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Shturmi and 1.0 for Kolkheti Poti (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shturmi are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.75 for Kolkheti Poti. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.1%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.4%

Odds: 1.80 EV: -20.1%

Draw 31.2%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +6.1%

Away 24.4%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -7.3%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.2% Odds: 2.05 -15.5%

Over 3.5 20.7% Odds: — —

BTTS 48.0% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✔

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Shturmi

1.37

Kolkheti Poti

0.96

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=44.4%