Today / Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 / Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti

Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 16:00

Shturmi

PPG 1.75 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Kolkheti Poti

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-19.3%0-24.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.3%1-112.8%1-26.1%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.1%2-18.8%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.2%3-14.0%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.4% 55.6% 1.80 -20.1%

Draw 31.2% 29.4% 3.40 +6.1%

Away win 24.4% 26.3% 3.80 -7.3%

Over 2.5 41.2% 48.8% 2.05 -15.5%

Over 3.5 20.7% — — —

BTTS 48.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.0%

H 44% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 9.7%

#3 1–0✓ 13.3%

#4 2–0 9.1%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shturmi1.4

Kolkheti Poti1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.2% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SHTURMI · PPG 1.75

KOLKHETI POTI · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=44.4%

Win probability 1X2

Shturmi (H) 44.4%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -20.1%

Draw 31.2%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +6.1%

Kolkheti Poti (A) 24.4%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -7.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Shturmi face Kolkheti Poti in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shturmi a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Kolkheti Poti 24%, so Shturmi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Shturmi and 1.0 for Kolkheti Poti (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shturmi are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.75 for Kolkheti Poti. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.1%. This match finished 1-0.

Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Predictions