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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura logo Uruguay flag Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Apertura - 14 Parque Artigas· Las Piedras Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:30
Juventud logo Juventud PPG 1.00
2-1 HIT CS4
Wanderers logo Wanderers PPG 1.00
Away· +8.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.7%
Odds: 2.08 EV: -21.6%
Draw 31.2%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -3.3%
Away 31.1%
Odds: 3.50 EV: +8.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.0% Odds: 2.35 +3.4%
Over 3.5 22.9% Odds: 4.50 +3.0%
BTTS 51.4% Odds: 1.95 +0.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Juventud
1.29
Wanderers
1.15

Model Suggestion

BTTS +0.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +0.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+8.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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