Today / Szent Mihaly W vs Budaors W

Szent Mihaly W vs Budaors W Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Szent Mihaly W

PPG 1.78 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Budaors W

PPG 0.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.5%0-20.9%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-04.1%1-14.9%1-22.9%1-31.1%1-4+0.4%2 2-06.5%2-17.7%2-24.6%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.8%3-18.1%3-24.8%3-31.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-011.8%4+-114.0%4+-28.3%4+-33.3%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.3% — — —

Draw 14.6% — — —

Away win 10.1% — — —

Over 2.5 80.8% — — —

Over 3.5 63.1% — — —

BTTS 67.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 78%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob67.3%

H 75% / xG 3.2-1.2 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.1%

#2 2–1 7.7%

#3 3–0 6.8%

#4 2–0✓ 6.5%

#5 4–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Szent Mihaly W3.2

Budaors W1.2

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.8% · O3.5 PROB 63.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SZENT MIHALY W · PPG 1.78

BUDAORS W · PPG 0.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.78), Away POOR (0.11) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Szent Mihaly W (H) 75.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 14.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Budaors W (A) 10.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Szent Mihaly W face Budaors W on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Szent Mihaly W a 75% chance, the draw 15% and Budaors W 10%, so Szent Mihaly W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Szent Mihaly W and 1.2 for Budaors W (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Szent Mihaly W are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 0.11 for Budaors W. This match finished 2-0.

Szent Mihaly W vs Budaors W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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