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Karpaty Lviv vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 26 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 15:00

Karpaty Lviv

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDWL

0 – 0

FULL TIME

LNZ Cherkasy

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-113.2%0-28.3%0-33.5%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.4%1-113.1%1-28.3%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.2%2-16.6%2-24.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.7%3-12.2%3-21.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.3% 33.9% 2.95 -19.5%

Draw 32.3% 33.3% 3.00 -3.1%

Away win 40.5% 43.5% 2.30 -6.9%

Over 2.5 39.4% 42.0% 2.38 -6.2%

Over 3.5 19.3% 22.2% 4.50 -13.2%

BTTS 47.3% 51.3% 1.95 -7.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 78 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob47.3%

A 40% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0✓ 10.4%

#3 0–1 13.2%

#4 1–0 10.4%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karpaty Lviv1.0

LNZ Cherkasy1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.4% · O3.5 PROB 19.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KARPATY LVIV · PPG 1.17

LNZ CHERKASY · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

47%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Karpaty Lviv (H) 27.3%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -19.5%

Draw 32.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -3.1%

LNZ Cherkasy (A) 40.5%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -6.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Karpaty Lviv face LNZ Cherkasy in Ukraine - Premier League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karpaty Lviv a 27% chance, the draw 32% and LNZ Cherkasy 41%, so LNZ Cherkasy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Karpaty Lviv and 1.3 for LNZ Cherkasy (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karpaty Lviv are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 2.33 for LNZ Cherkasy. This match finished 0-0.

Karpaty Lviv vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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