Today / Zvolen vs Slavia TU K.

Zvolen vs Slavia TU K. Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Zvolen

PPG 1.46 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Slavia TU K.

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.46) vs P(Home)=51.5%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-15.9%0-23.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.5%1-110.8%1-26.2%1-32.3%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.6%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.2%3-15.9%3-23.4%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-14.0%4+-22.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.5% — — —

Draw 26.3% — — —

Away win 22.3% — — —

Over 2.5 56.6% — — —

Over 3.5 34.2% — — —

BTTS 58.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.6%

H 52% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1✓ 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 1–0 9.5%

#5 0–0 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zvolen1.8

Slavia TU K.1.1

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.6% · O3.5 PROB 34.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ZVOLEN · PPG 1.46

SLAVIA TU K. · PPG 0.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.46) vs P(Home)=51.5%

Win probability 1X2

Zvolen (H) 51.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Slavia TU K. (A) 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zvolen face Slavia TU K. on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zvolen a 52% chance, the draw 26% and Slavia TU K. 22%, so Zvolen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Zvolen and 1.1 for Slavia TU K. (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zvolen are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 0.62 for Slavia TU K.. This match finished 2-1.

Zvolen vs Slavia TU K. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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