Today / Pohronie vs L. Mikulas

Pohronie vs L. Mikulas Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Pohronie

PPG 2.08 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

L. Mikulas

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.08) vs P(Home)=49.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-15.4%0-23.5%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-07.9%1-110.2%1-26.6%1-32.8%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.6%2-26.2%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.7%3-16.0%3-23.9%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-14.3%4+-22.8%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 24.6% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 38.9% — — —

BTTS 62.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.8%

H 50% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 1–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pohronie1.9

L. Mikulas1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 38.9%

Form & verdict PPG

POHRONIE · PPG 2.08

L. MIKULAS · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.08) vs P(Home)=49.8%

Win probability 1X2

Pohronie (H) 49.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

L. Mikulas (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pohronie face L. Mikulas on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pohronie a 50% chance, the draw 26% and L. Mikulas 25%, so Pohronie are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Pohronie and 1.3 for L. Mikulas (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pohronie are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 0.92 for L. Mikulas. This match finished 2-2.

Pohronie vs L. Mikulas Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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