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Hohenems vs Dornbirn Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 27 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 15:00

Hohenems

PPG 1.54 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Dornbirn

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.54), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-18.0%0-26.2%0-33.2%0-4+1.7%1 1-07.3%1-111.3%1-28.8%1-34.5%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.2%2-18.0%2-26.2%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.4%3-13.8%3-22.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.8%4+-21.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.1% 37.0% 2.70 -10.6%

Draw 27.8% 28.2% 3.55 -1.3%

Away win 39.1% 46.5% 2.15 -15.9%

Over 2.5 56.8% 66.7% 1.50 -14.8%

Over 3.5 34.4% 44.4% 2.25 -22.6%

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.3%

A 39% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 0–0✓ 5.2%

#5 0–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hohenems1.4

Dornbirn1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.8% · O3.5 PROB 34.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HOHENEMS · PPG 1.54

DORNBIRN · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.54), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Hohenems (H) 33.1%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -10.6%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -1.3%

Dornbirn (A) 39.1%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -15.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hohenems face Dornbirn in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hohenems a 33% chance, the draw 28% and Dornbirn 39%, so Dornbirn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hohenems and 1.5 for Dornbirn (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hohenems are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.25 for Dornbirn. This match finished 0-0.

Hohenems vs Dornbirn Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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