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Gandzasar vs Van Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Regular Season - 24 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 15:00

Gandzasar

PPG 1.45 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Van

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-110.2%0-25.3%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.6%1-113.1%1-26.8%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.1%2-18.4%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.4%3-13.6%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.0% 52.4% 1.91 -23.6%

Draw 31.9% 30.3% 3.30 +5.3%

Away win 28.1% 27.8% 3.60 +1.2%

Over 2.5 40.9% 51.3% 1.95 -20.3%

Over 3.5 20.5% 29.0% 3.45 -29.3%

BTTS 48.6% 56.5% 1.77 -14.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -20.4%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.6%

H 40% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.8%

#3 1–0 12.6%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 0–1✓ 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gandzasar1.3

Van1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.9% · O3.5 PROB 20.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GANDZASAR · PPG 1.45

VAN · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.45) > Away POOR (0.91)

Win probability 1X2

Gandzasar (H) 40.0%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -23.6%

Draw 31.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +5.3%

Van (A) 28.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +1.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gandzasar face Van in Armenia - Premier League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gandzasar a 40% chance, the draw 32% and Van 28%, so Gandzasar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Gandzasar and 1.0 for Van (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gandzasar are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 0.91 for Van. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.3%. This match finished 0-1.

Gandzasar vs Van Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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