Today / B71 Sandur vs TB Tvoroyri

B71 Sandur vs TB Tvoroyri Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

B71 Sandur
PPG 2.00 · HOME
4 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
TB Tvoroyri
PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-15.0%0-23.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-07.6%1-19.8%1-26.4%1-32.8%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.4%2-19.6%2-26.2%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.8%3-16.2%3-24.1%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-14.8%4+-23.1%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.2%
Draw 24.9%
Away win 23.9%
Over 2.5 63.1%
Over 3.5 41.0%
BTTS 63.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-0
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.9%

H 51% / xG 2.0-1.3 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%
#2 2–1 9.6%
#3 2–0 7.4%
#4 1–2 6.4%
#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B71 Sandur2.0
TB Tvoroyri1.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 41.0%

Form & verdict PPG

B71 SANDUR · PPG 2.00

TB TVOROYRI · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

B71 Sandur (H) 51.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
TB Tvoroyri (A) 23.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

B71 Sandur face TB Tvoroyri on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B71 Sandur a 51% chance, the draw 25% and TB Tvoroyri 24%, so B71 Sandur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for B71 Sandur and 1.3 for TB Tvoroyri (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B71 Sandur are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.33 for TB Tvoroyri. This match finished 4-0.

PredictVantage

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