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Trajal Krusevac vs Dubocica Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Relegation Group - 34 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Trajal Krusevac

PPG 1.69 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Dubocica

PPG 0.47 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-17.9%0-23.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.3%1-112.1%1-25.5%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.2%2-19.3%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.2%3-14.7%3-22.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% — — —

Draw 29.4% — — —

Away win 20.6% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.9% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.6%

H 50% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0 13.3%

#3 0–0 8.7%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trajal Krusevac1.5

Dubocica0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TRAJAL KRUSEVAC · PPG 1.69

DUBOCICA · PPG 0.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.69) vs P(Home)=49.9%

Win probability 1X2

Trajal Krusevac (H) 49.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dubocica (A) 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Trajal Krusevac face Dubocica in Serbia - Prva Liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trajal Krusevac a 50% chance, the draw 29% and Dubocica 21%, so Trajal Krusevac are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Trajal Krusevac and 0.9 for Dubocica (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trajal Krusevac are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 0.47 for Dubocica. This match finished 1-3.

Trajal Krusevac vs Dubocica Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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