Today / Smederevo vs Dinamo Jug

Smederevo vs Dinamo Jug Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Smederevo

PPG 1.71 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Dinamo Jug

PPG 1.19 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-110.9%0-25.0%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.3%1-113.2%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.7%2-18.0%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-13.2%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% — — —

Draw 33.2% — — —

Away win 26.0% — — —

Over 2.5 35.9% — — —

Over 3.5 16.8% — — —

BTTS 44.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob44.3%

H 41% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.8%

#3 1–0 14.3%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Smederevo1.2

Dinamo Jug0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 16.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SMEDEREVO · PPG 1.71

DINAMO JUG · PPG 1.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.19)

Win probability 1X2

Smederevo (H) 40.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dinamo Jug (A) 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Smederevo face Dinamo Jug on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Smederevo a 41% chance, the draw 33% and Dinamo Jug 26%, so Smederevo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Smederevo and 0.9 for Dinamo Jug (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Smederevo are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.19 for Dinamo Jug. This match finished 2-1.

Smederevo vs Dinamo Jug Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions