Today / FAP Priboj vs Borac 1926

FAP Priboj vs Borac 1926 Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

FAP Priboj

PPG 1.19 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Borac 1926

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-111.0%0-26.8%0-32.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.5%1-113.0%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.2%2-17.7%2-24.8%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.4%3-13.0%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.9% — — —

Draw 31.4% — — —

Away win 35.6% — — —

Over 2.5 43.5% — — —

Over 3.5 22.5% — — —

BTTS 51.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.1%

D 31% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 44% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 8.9%

#3 0–1✓ 11.0%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FAP Priboj1.2

Borac 19261.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.5% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FAP PRIBOJ · PPG 1.19

BORAC 1926 · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

FAP Priboj (H) 32.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Borac 1926 (A) 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FAP Priboj face Borac 1926 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FAP Priboj a 33% chance, the draw 31% and Borac 1926 36%, so Borac 1926 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for FAP Priboj and 1.2 for Borac 1926 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FAP Priboj are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.06 for Borac 1926. This match finished 0-1.

FAP Priboj vs Borac 1926 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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