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Sporting Delhi vs Punjab Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Sporting Delhi

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Punjab

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-19.7%0-27.1%0-33.5%0-4+1.8%1 1-08.3%1-112.1%1-28.9%1-34.3%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.2%2-17.6%2-25.5%2-32.7%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.1%3-13.1%3-22.3%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.3%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.4% — — —

Draw 29.2% — — —

Away win 40.3% — — —

Over 2.5 50.8% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 56.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob56.5%

D 29% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 0–0✓ 6.7%

#4 0–1 9.7%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sporting Delhi1.2

Punjab1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTING DELHI · PPG 1.67

PUNJAB · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Sporting Delhi (H) 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Punjab (A) 40.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sporting Delhi face Punjab on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sporting Delhi a 30% chance, the draw 29% and Punjab 40%, so Punjab are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sporting Delhi and 1.5 for Punjab (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sporting Delhi are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.50 for Punjab. This match finished 0-0.

Sporting Delhi vs Punjab Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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