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Kazincbarcika vs Kisvarda Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Kazincbarcika

PPG 0.50 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kisvarda

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.8% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-110.2%0-27.7%0-33.8%0-4+2.0%1 1-08.1%1-112.1%1-29.1%1-34.5%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.8%2-17.2%2-25.4%2-32.7%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.9%3-12.8%3-22.1%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.2% 26.3% 3.80 +7.2%

Draw 29.2% 29.9% 3.35 -2.2%

Away win 42.6% 53.2% 1.88 -19.9%

Over 2.5 50.3% 54.1% 1.85 -6.9%

Over 3.5 28.3% 32.3% 3.10 -12.3%

BTTS 55.8% 59.9% 1.67 -6.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 2.2%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.8%

A 43% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 0–0 6.8%

#4 0–1 10.2%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kazincbarcika1.2

Kisvarda1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KAZINCBARCIKA · PPG 0.50

KISVARDA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.50) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Kazincbarcika (H) 28.2%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +7.2%

Draw 29.2%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -2.2%

Kisvarda (A) 42.6%

ODDS 1.88 · IMPLIED 53.2% EV -19.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kazincbarcika face Kisvarda in Hungary - NB I on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kazincbarcika a 28% chance, the draw 29% and Kisvarda 43%, so Kisvarda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kazincbarcika and 1.5 for Kisvarda (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kazincbarcika are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Kisvarda. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.2%. This match finished 2-1.

Kazincbarcika vs Kisvarda Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Match Preview & Prediction

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