Today / Baumberg vs Juchen-G.

Baumberg vs Juchen-G. Prediction

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Baumberg

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Juchen-G.

PPG 0.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.79)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-18.2%0-26.1%0-33.0%0-4+1.6%1 1-07.8%1-111.6%1-28.6%1-34.2%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.5%2-18.2%2-26.1%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.6%3-13.8%3-22.9%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.9%4+-21.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.3% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 37.5% — — —

Over 2.5 55.3% — — —

Over 3.5 33.0% — — —

BTTS 60.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob60.2%

D 28% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 0–0 5.5%

#5 0–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baumberg1.4

Juchen-G.1.5

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.3% · O3.5 PROB 33.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BAUMBERG · PPG 1.33

JUCHEN-G. · PPG 0.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.79)

Win probability 1X2

Baumberg (H) 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juchen-G. (A) 37.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Baumberg face Juchen-G. on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baumberg a 34% chance, the draw 28% and Juchen-G. 38%, so Juchen-G. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Baumberg and 1.5 for Juchen-G. (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baumberg are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.79 for Juchen-G.. This match finished 1-0.

Baumberg vs Juchen-G. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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