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Jeddeloh vs Kickers Emden Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

North - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Jeddeloh

PPG 2.13 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kickers Emden

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-13.7%0-22.5%0-31.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.0%1-18.2%1-25.7%1-32.6%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.7%2-19.3%2-26.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.0%3-17.0%3-24.8%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-16.6%4+-24.6%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.0% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 21.6% — — —

Over 2.5 70.3% — — —

Over 3.5 49.1% — — —

BTTS 68.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 77%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob68.2%

H 56% / xG 2.3-1.4 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 3–1 7.0%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeddeloh2.3

Kickers Emden1.4

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.3% · O3.5 PROB 49.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDDELOH · PPG 2.13

KICKERS EMDEN · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=56.0%

Win probability 1X2

Jeddeloh (H) 56.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kickers Emden (A) 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeddeloh face Kickers Emden in Germany - Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeddeloh a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Kickers Emden 22%, so Jeddeloh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Jeddeloh and 1.4 for Kickers Emden (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeddeloh are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.29 for Kickers Emden. This match finished 3-4.

Jeddeloh vs Kickers Emden Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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