Today / England - Women's Championship / Sheffield Utd W vs Bristol City W

Sheffield Utd W vs Bristol City W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Sheffield Utd W

PPG 1.20 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Bristol City W

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.30)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-17.6%0-27.1%0-34.4%0-4+3.2%1 1-05.4%1-110.1%1-29.5%1-35.9%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.6%2-16.8%2-26.3%2-33.9%2-4+2.8%3 3-01.6%3-13.0%3-22.8%3-31.8%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.4%4+-21.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.9% 19.0% 5.25 +36.0%

Draw 25.6% 26.3% 3.80 -2.7%

Away win 48.5% 66.7% 1.50 -27.3%

Over 2.5 62.2% 57.8% 1.73 +7.6%

Over 3.5 39.9% — — —

BTTS 63.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 85%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 25.1%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.9%

A 48% / xG 1.3-1.9 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.8%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sheffield Utd W1.3

Bristol City W1.9

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SHEFFIELD UTD W · PPG 1.20

BRISTOL CITY W · PPG 1.30

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.30)

Win probability 1X2

Sheffield Utd W (H) 25.9%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV +36.0%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -2.7%

Bristol City W (A) 48.5%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -27.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sheffield Utd W face Bristol City W in England - Women's Championship on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sheffield Utd W a 26% chance, the draw 26% and Bristol City W 49%, so Bristol City W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sheffield Utd W and 1.9 for Bristol City W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sheffield Utd W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.30 for Bristol City W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +36.0%. This match finished 0-4.

Sheffield Utd W vs Bristol City W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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