Durham W vs Sheffield Utd W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

England - Women's Championship Regular Season - 21 Maiden Castle· Durham Sunday, April 26, 2026 11:00

Durham W PPG 1.20

2-1 HIT CS2

Sheffield Utd W PPG 0.60

Over2.5· +2.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Durham W face Sheffield Utd W in England - Women's Championship on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Durham W a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Sheffield Utd W 25%, so Durham W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Durham W and 1.1 for Sheffield Utd W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Durham W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.60 for Sheffield Utd W. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.3%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -9.7%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -6.6%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -16.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.73 +2.1%

Over 3.5 35.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Durham W

1.88

Sheffield Utd W

1.14

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +2.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.60)