Nottingham F. W vs Southampton W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

England - Women's Championship Regular Season - 22 City Ground· Nottingham Saturday, May 2, 2026 14:00

Nottingham F. W PPG 1.50

0-3 MISS

Southampton W PPG 1.70

Away· +26.7% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Nottingham F. W face Southampton W in England - Women's Championship on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nottingham F. W a 29% chance, the draw 27% and Southampton W 44%, so Southampton W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Nottingham F. W and 1.7 for Southampton W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nottingham F. W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.70 for Southampton W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +26.7%. This match finished 0-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.0%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -36.2%

Draw 27.0%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -13.6%

Away 44.0%

Odds: 2.88 EV: +26.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.5% Odds: 1.85 +8.2%

Over 3.5 36.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 62.0% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Nottingham F. W

1.35

Southampton W

1.69

Model SuggestionBTTS  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 85%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 31%

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.70)