Charlton W vs Birmingham W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

England - Women's Championship Regular Season - 22 The Valley· London Saturday, May 2, 2026 14:00

Charlton W PPG 2.30

0-2 MISS

Birmingham W PPG 2.00

Home· +13.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Charlton W face Birmingham W in England - Women's Championship on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Charlton W a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Birmingham W 35%, so Charlton W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Charlton W and 1.3 for Birmingham W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Charlton W are averaging 2.30 points per game versus 2.00 for Birmingham W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.3%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.4%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +13.3%

Draw 30.1%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -6.7%

Away 34.5%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -29.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.3% Odds: 1.90 -8.2%

Over 3.5 26.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 54.9% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Charlton W

1.31

Birmingham W

1.29

Model SuggestionBTTS  NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+13.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.30), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)