Birmingham W vs Ipswich Town W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

England - Women's Championship Regular Season - 21 St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park· Birmingham Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Birmingham W PPG 2.10

0-3 MISS

Ipswich Town W PPG 0.60

Draw· +20.6% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Birmingham W face Ipswich Town W in England - Women's Championship on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Birmingham W a 73% chance, the draw 20% and Ipswich Town W 7%, so Birmingham W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for Birmingham W and 0.7 for Ipswich Town W (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Birmingham W are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 0.60 for Ipswich Town W. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +20.6%. This match finished 0-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 73.1%

Odds: 1.18 EV: -13.7%

Draw 20.1%

Odds: 6.00 EV: +20.6%

Away 6.9%

Odds: 12.00 EV: -17.2%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 67.3% Odds: — —

BTTS 52.8% Odds: 1.91 +0.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0 ✘

2nd 4-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 5-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Birmingham W

3.84

Ipswich Town W

0.75

Model SuggestionHome -13.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-13.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 85%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 31%

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.10), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus