Today / England - Women's Championship / Ipswich Town W vs Sunderland W

Ipswich Town W vs Sunderland W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Ipswich Town W

PPG 1.10 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Sunderland W

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-17.9%0-26.0%0-33.1%0-4+1.6%1 1-07.4%1-111.3%1-28.6%1-34.4%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.3%2-18.1%2-26.2%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-02.6%3-13.9%3-23.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.9%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.1% 40.8% 2.45 -16.4%

Draw 27.9% 30.8% 3.25 -9.3%

Away win 38.0% 41.7% 2.40 -8.8%

Over 2.5 56.8% — — —

Over 3.5 34.4% — — —

BTTS 61.3% 63.7% 1.57 -3.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 85%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 25.1%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.3%

A 38% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1✓ 8.1%

#4 0–0 5.2%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ipswich Town W1.4

Sunderland W1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.8% · O3.5 PROB 34.4%

Form & verdict PPG

IPSWICH TOWN W · PPG 1.10

SUNDERLAND W · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.10), Away AVERAGE (1.10)

Win probability 1X2

Ipswich Town W (H) 34.1%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -16.4%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -9.3%

Sunderland W (A) 38.0%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -8.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ipswich Town W face Sunderland W in England - Women's Championship on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ipswich Town W a 34% chance, the draw 28% and Sunderland W 38%, so Sunderland W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ipswich Town W and 1.5 for Sunderland W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ipswich Town W are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.10 for Sunderland W. This match finished 2-1.

Ipswich Town W vs Sunderland W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Women's Championship Predictions