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Sunderland W vs Crystal P. W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

England - Women's Championship logo England flag England - Women's Championship Regular Season - 21 Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground· Sunderland Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00
Sunderland W logo Sunderland W PPG 1.30
1-2 HIT CS2
Crystal P. W logo Crystal P. W PPG 1.70
Home· +39.2% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sunderland W face Crystal P. W in England - Women's Championship on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sunderland W a 27% chance, the draw 28% and Crystal P. W 45%, so Crystal P. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sunderland W and 1.9 for Crystal P. W (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sunderland W are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.70 for Crystal P. W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +39.2%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.3%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +39.2%
Draw 28.2%
Odds: 3.65 EV: +2.9%
Away 44.5%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -31.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.75 +3.3%
Over 3.5 39.2% Odds: —
BTTS 58.5% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Sunderland W
1.24
Crystal P. W
1.94

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +3.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+39.2%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.30) vs Away GOOD (1.70)

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